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Gold XAUUSD Daily Market Analysis - Sep 30, 2024 Kohinoor Free VIP Gold Forex and Crypto Trading

Kohinoor Free VIP Trading Signals

Updated: Oct 7, 2024

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Current Market Price: $2654


Intraday Signals (XAUUSD):

  1. Buy Signal: Consider initiating a long position if Gold breaks above $2665. Look for confirmation with a bullish divergence on the RSI and a breakout of resistance at $2670 (4H timeframe). Potential upside targets: $2685 (short-term) and $2700 (daily resistance).

  2. Sell Signal: A short opportunity arises if Gold breaks below $2640. Watch for a bearish RSI divergence and price action around the 50 EMA (4H). If support at $2635 fails, the next downside target would be $2620 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level).


Present Gold Market Analysis

Gold (XAUUSD) continues to maintain a bullish outlook with a current live price of $2654, but we must analyze key technical indicators to gauge potential movement for intraday trading.


Fibonacci Levels:

At the moment, Gold is hovering around the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level from its previous rally from $2600 to $2700. This zone presents strong support around $2635. If prices fail to maintain this level, a deeper retracement towards the 50% level at $2620 could be expected.


EMA ANALYSIS:

The daily chart shows the 50 EMA near $2630, acting as a dynamic support level. In addition:

  • The 100 EMA is aligned near $2605.

  • The 200 EMA is closer to $2570.

  • The 400 EMA stands at $2520, which is a strong longer-term support zone.

On the 4-hour chart:

  • The 50 EMA is at $2645, aligning well with immediate support.

  • The 100 EMA is at $2630.

  • The 200 EMA at $2600 will act as significant intraday support.

  • The 400 EMA on the 4-hour chart hovers near $2550.

Given that Gold is currently trading above the 50 and 100 EMAs on both daily and 4-hour charts, we remain in a bullish structure for the medium term.


RSI Divergence:

The RSI (Relative Strength Index) on the daily timeframe is showing a mild divergence, indicating potential bullish momentum if prices break above $2660. On the 4-hour chart, the RSI has crossed 55, further confirming upward momentum.


Weekly Pivots & SMC Concepts:

Gold's weekly pivot at $2650 acts as a psychological level that is in play right now. Above this level, the next key resistance is $2675. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) suggest liquidity hunts around this pivot level, so a breakout above $2665 could trigger aggressive buying towards $2700.

On the support side, if price breaks below the weekly pivot, expect a possible liquidity sweep towards $2630, with stops placed below $2620.


Support & Resistance Levels:

  • Daily Support: $2630, $2620, $2605

  • Daily Resistance: $2675, $2700

  • 4-Hour Support: $2640, $2630

  • 4-Hour Resistance: $2665, $2685


Key Levels

  • Daily Timeframe:

    • Support: $2630 (50 EMA), $2605 (100 EMA), $2570 (200 EMA)

    • Resistance: $2675, $2700

  • 4-Hour Timeframe:

    • Support: $2645 (50 EMA), $2630 (100 EMA), $2600 (200 EMA)

    • Resistance: $2665, $2685


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